Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024053 0.025958 0.027945 0.030173 0.032602 0.035174 0.038106
2025-11-30 0.020741 0.023449 0.026422 0.029937 0.033988 0.038521 0.043995
2025-12-07 0.018579 0.021737 0.025341 0.029773 0.035099 0.041319 0.049171
2025-12-14 0.016930 0.020358 0.024394 0.029520 0.035893 0.043603 0.053704
2025-12-21 0.015774 0.019420 0.023828 0.029584 0.036957 0.046156 0.058612
2025-12-28 0.014710 0.018485 0.023156 0.029407 0.037628 0.048169 0.062871
2026-01-04 0.013859 0.017742 0.022648 0.029362 0.038407 0.050303 0.067354
2026-01-11 0.013183 0.017166 0.022299 0.029472 0.039354 0.052663 0.072239
2026-01-18 0.012557 0.016611 0.021929 0.029505 0.040164 0.054842 0.076964
2026-01-25 0.012057 0.016188 0.021701 0.029699 0.041179 0.057329 0.082248
2026-02-01 0.011431 0.015555 0.021143 0.029385 0.041433 0.058715 0.085964
2026-02-08 0.010804 0.014884 0.020492 0.028892 0.041381 0.059626 0.088981
2026-02-15 0.010316 0.014405 0.020112 0.028806 0.041976 0.061608 0.093912
2026-02-22 0.009816 0.013884 0.019648 0.028573 0.042338 0.063264 0.098463
2026-03-01 0.009378 0.013430 0.019255 0.028415 0.042795 0.065076 0.103369
2026-03-08 0.008953 0.012972 0.018827 0.028175 0.043095 0.066638 0.107946
2026-03-15 0.008639 0.012664 0.018607 0.028236 0.043864 0.068980 0.113977
2026-03-22 0.008290 0.012284 0.018256 0.028068 0.044243 0.070691 0.119016
2026-03-29 0.007996 0.011974 0.017996 0.028025 0.044816 0.072743 0.124782
2026-04-05 0.007756 0.011736 0.017834 0.028129 0.045632 0.075241 0.131509
2026-04-12 0.007514 0.011484 0.017637 0.028161 0.046318 0.077543 0.138025
2026-04-19 0.007321 0.011299 0.017537 0.028345 0.047269 0.080357 0.145692
2026-04-26 0.007036 0.010956 0.017165 0.028047 0.047354 0.081616 0.150447